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N° 2006-01 |
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| January 2006 |
| Je t'aime, moi non plus : Bilateral Opinions and International Trade |
Anne-Célia Disdier
Thierry Mayer |
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| This paper studies the relationship between bilateral trade patterns and opinions. It uses
the Eurobarometer public opinion surveys published by the European Commission, which
provide data on the share of the population in each EU member country in favor of each
CEEC joining the EU. Our results first suggest that bilateral opinions have a statistically
robust and relatively large effect on imports, even when standard and new covariates capturing
proximity between countries are controlled for. We interpret this effect as reflecting
a positive impact of “bilateral affinity” on trade patterns. We also show that it is possible to
go some way towards explaining the variance in bilateral opinions among our sample. Last
we provide some preliminary attempt to determine causality between bilateral opinions and
imports. |
Abstract |
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| Gravity; bilateral opinions; enlargement |
Keywords |
| F10 |
JEL classification |
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