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  Mentions légales
    N° 204
September 2001
Trade Integration and Monetary Integration

Jean-Louis Guérin
Amina Lahrèche-Révil

Several, recent empirical studies have shown that exchange rate volatility has a negative impact on the volume of international trade and on foreign direct investment. However, in open economies, all economic variables are affected by conditions relating to international integration. A study by the CEPII has therefore tried to show how exchange rate volatility may penalise domestic investment. Such an effect is all the more pronounced the more similar the productive structures of the involved countries are. These diverse studies thus provide new arguments relating to the choice of a monetary peg, underlying the necessity of a good matching between trade and monetary zones. Abstract
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